NFL Week 9 Betting Odds - 2018 NFL Football Predictions
The Cowboys are quickly turning back into America's Team, with rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot leading them to a record and -- just as important for our purposes -- ATS. This line opened Dallas It's even gone to The Cowboys will also be a very popular teaser play for sharps and squares alike. The Browns are tough to back. I loved them 3 against the Jets last week with Josh McCown returning to the lineup, and they looked like the right side early but then got run over and we were lucky to get a TD and two-point conversion to get the push with the 3 they closed 2.
Still, with this line getting inflated due to the Cowboys' success, I can't resist taking McCown and the Browns again to stay within the number. It sure looks like the end of the Tony Romo era in Dallas, though with the prevalence of quarterback injuries, you never know.
Yes, I still think the Cowboys would be better off with Romo starting, but I am in the minority. Prescott certainly wasn't bad against Philadelphia this past week, but he wasn't good either. Dallas' pass offense ranked in the 46th percentile and its play success rate was 48th percentile -- and these both adjust for strength of opponent and home field. Which QB starts this week really doesn't matter, though, as the Browns are still the worst team in football.
Opened Miami -3 ; now Miami The public is split on this game as other tracking sites are right around , with the Jets getting the most play at some books. The inconsistent play of both teams contributes to that. The wiseguys are also mostly split on this game, though early sharp money pushed this from the opening line of Miami -3 to -4 at several books before we've seen buyback on the Jets.
The Jets are not the easiest team to back and I did try fading them with the Browns last week , though they have won their last two games since Ryan Fitzpatrick returned to the lineup. So I'm reluctantly landing on the Jets, though this is more of a pick against the Dolphins, who are ATS as favorites this season, beating but failing to cover against the Browns in Week 3 and then losing outright as 2.
The story of the Jets this year has been turnovers. They finally won the turnover battle last week, in a come-from-behind win against the winless Browns, but still have a minus-9 turnover differential for the season.
The Jets are much better than their record -- they are basically an average team -- and they're about a point better than Miami on a neutral field, but Miami has the benefit of both a bye last week and home field, and Massey-Peabody pegs the Dolphins as a An interesting matchup to watch is running back Jay Ajayi , fresh off of two straight yard rushing games, facing a Jets defense that ranks sixth in the NFL in average rush yards allowed to running backs.
This game was still off the board at most books as of early Friday morning with Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger listed as questionable. Some lines have popped up between Baltimore We'll update this after Big Ben's status is finalized and the books post more solid lines. Pittsburgh again looks like it will be without Ben Roethlisberger , but it has had an extra week to get Landry Jones some reps and craft a game plan that he can execute.
Intuitively, it seems like the bye week should be worth more to Pittsburgh than Baltimore for that reason, but my model doesn't incorporate that. Baltimore's rating has slowly continued to slide due to its inept offense.
The Ravens offense ranks 29th in the NFL with 4. It's near the bottom in big plays as well. Baltimore's defense has quietly been very good, ranking fifth in the NFL and giving up only 5. Pittsburgh is a lean at 3 , but no play at 3 with added vig, or at 2. Opened 51; now Are we seeing the return of the Saints as a public team?
It's hard to gauge going against the unpopular 49ers, but the Saints have covered their last four games and gone SU in the process, with the only loss a defeat at Kansas City in Week 7.
The sharps have joined the public in backing New Orleans or fading San Fran from the opening line of -3 up to That's a pretty significant move for an NFL game. The 49ers have failed to cover since their opening-week win over the Rams. Before their bye week, I lost with them against the Bills and Buccaneers, mistakenly thinking that Colin Kaepernick could spark the offense. The Saints defense is ranked No.
If they don't step up here as home underdogs, I'll probably have to stop backing them. I was saying that New Orleans is not a bad team at all, and it seems that the market is coming around to that idea after the Saints beat the Seahawks last week.
Both teams actually played quite well, with the Saints' performance grading out as the fifth-best of the week, one spot ahead of Seattle. They travel to the West Coast to play a San Francisco team that is coming off a bye and should be improving as Kaepernick shakes off some rust. While New Orleans has an elite offense, its defense is awful, giving up 6. San Francisco is a play at 3. Opened Carolina -2; now Carolina -3 Total: Opened 45; now The public is clearly on the Panthers, who snapped their four-game losing streak with a win over the Cardinals that looked more like the Carolina team we saw all last season.
The public still doesn't trust the Rams. Sharps also jumped on the Panthers early, betting them from -2 to -3 and several books are starting to charge added juice, as this line looks like it's going to 3.
The Rams are a little intriguing as home underdogs as they did upset the Seahawks back in Week 2 in the L. Coliseum , but the Panthers looked revived last week.
I think the under is the safer play. Don't write off the Panthers just yet! They may be , but they are the third-best team in the NFL, according to Massey-Peabody's predictive ratings, and they still have a 23 percent chance of making the playoffs. So why is Carolina if it is, in fact, an elite team? The Panthers have certainly underperformed, but they've also been unlucky, with a minus-7 turnover margin.
They travel to Los Angeles and have the misfortune of facing a team coming off a bye. This isn't a cakewalk by any means, but my model gives Carolina a The Rams entered their bye week coming off yet another dismal offensive performance, scoring just 10 points against the Giants.
Obviously, the offensive drought continues for L. This will pose a tough matchup for the Rams offense as well. The Panthers own a ferocious front seven, but the Rams lack the passing game to exploit the Panthers' weakness in the secondary. Still, the Rams are talented on defense, ranking as a top unit. Their defense was exceptionally hurt in the last couple of games leading into their bye, but this unit will be much healthier for this contest.
Opened Green Bay -7; now Green Bay Opened 53; now 54 PickCenter public consensus pick: It's a little surprising that the public is on the Packers so much, though they did cover in their loss at Atlanta and are still ATS for backers. The sharps were with the public in betting this line from Green Bay -7 to As this number has gone over a full touchdown, it's tempting to take the Colts; however, I'm still scared off by their No.
Aaron Rogers isn't having his best year, but facing that defense at Lambeau might help the Packers get back on track. Yes, Aaron Rodgers completed The Green Bay passing attack really has been perplexing, ranking 28th in yards per pass play. The Packers host an Indianapolis squad that has also had a disappointing year, despite good numbers from its franchise quarterback, Andrew Luck.
However, those good numbers are only when he is able to stay upright long enough to throw the ball. His 31 sacks is the most in football by a significant margin, and it's not a new problem for the Colts.
The offensive line should take some blame for it, but invariably the quarterback plays a big role too: Under 54 Massey-Peabody Line: Opened 47; now They're ATS despite the loss to the Broncos last week. This line had been bet up to San Diego So too will be the coaching matchup between Jon Gruden and Kyle Shanahan with both having much to prove in front of a nationally televised audience. These AFC North rivals normally play to closely contested contests with the average margin of victory checking in at just over a touchdown over the last seven meetings.
Pittsburgh swept the season rivalry a year ago, and pasted Baltimore in as 3. John Harbaugh will no doubt have his team way up for this matchup! All the information in our NFL predictions section is available to help you to make a educated sports betting decision and inform you on all other Live Sports Betting events around the world. Online sports bettors can also take advantage of some of the industry's best Football bonus codes and promos.
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