2018 Pool Picks
The Bengals play just one game at home before Week 12 and it's Sunday's matchup with the Colts. Indianapolis is now without top rookie Malik Hooker , an ascending member of its secondary.
Indy's defensive struggles are too much to ignore in this matchup, as the Colts are allowing an NFL-high five deep completions throws that travel 15 or more yards in the air per game and struggling to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks they have just 1. Green is almost always a good bet to dominate, with this Sunday being a particularly favorable matchup.
He's worth the steep price. In his last three games, Prescott has thrown for yards and nine touchdowns while adding 88 yards rushing two more scores on the ground. Expect the Cowboys to lean on that ultra-efficient passing game versus Washington and look for those QB designed runs to show up in the deep red zone. After watching Carson Wentz trounce the Redskins defense this past Monday night, Prescott is a strong play against a defense that is now giving up an average of Wentz leads the league in touchdown passes 17 , ranks tied for third in vertical touchdown passes 7 , fourth in YPA 8.
He should be able to improve upon those totals versus a 49ers defense that ranks 28th in YPA allowed 7. I normally don't chase streaks, but considering the alternatives at quarterback in Week 8, I'll pay up for Wentz, who faces another great matchup. The San Francisco 49ers have afforded an average of Meanwhile, all of the other top-tier quarterbacks face lower-ceiling matchups with the exception of Cam Newton , whose erratic play this season makes him a bit less trustworthy.
If Wentz leaps tall buildings in a single bound between his Monday night gem and Sunday's showdown with my 49ers, not one person would be surprised. Wentz already has one more touchdown pass this season than he did in all of last year! The Niners aren't likely to provide much resistance given that they've allowed passing yards or multiple passing touchdowns in five straight games.
It wouldn't be a shock to see Wentz deliver both on Sunday and prove worthy of every penny of his DFS price tag. Take your pick of Panthers weapons against the porous Tampa Bay defense. Yes, Cam Newton looked awful against the Bears in Week 7, but the Bears really aren't so bad defensively.
They've already permitted more than receiving yards from sets of opposing wide receivers four times in six games, and while Newton hasn't been so consistent, it seems like a big performance is pending. Roster both Panthers if you can't decide. On three separate occasions this season, the Falcons have surrendered a receiving touchdown to an opposing running back, as Tarik Cohen , Ty Montgomery and James White have all scored in the passing game versus Atlanta.
Forte continues to be a steady part of the Jets' lineup when he's healthy, as he's amassed 13 targets over the past two games since returning from injury, catching all 13 of those passes. He has 29 total touches over the past two weeks, playing 50 percent or more of the snaps on both occasions.
During the past three weeks, we've seen the impact Agholor can have playing in the slot -- he has caught of targets for yards and he's scored a touchdown in all three games. With the route running skill set to separate and the immediate burst to produce after the catch, Agholor has the ability to win in the middle of the field. And I like the matchup this week versus a 49ers defense giving up an average of Brate leads all tight ends this season in vertical receptions 11 catches on aerials thrown 11 or more yards downfield and vertical touchdowns 3.
The Panthers have allowed four touchdowns to tight ends over the past three weeks, so Brate should have a very good chance of hitting pay dirt this week and more than justify his relatively low cost.
The year-old journeyman has played one game with Buffalo, but that sure seemed to go well with four catches for yards against the Bucs. And in this day and age of what-have-you-done-for-me-lately, coaches do not want to be seen as actively bad. When I actually looked through the play-by-play of the Cardinals' four-minute offense well, technically their drive started with 4: Of course, nobody in the media mentioned this non-conservative play calling that generated two first downs, took two minutes off the clock and forced the Ravens to burn all three timeouts.
What they do remember is Carson Palmer getting penalized for intentional grounding with 2: Sure, the play didn't work out, but it was not due to a flaw in the decision-making process; the play called was a screen pass, and a first down would have ended the game. Arians said after the game "that's the time to go for the throat.
Home teams are spelled out with all caps. The win probability percentage for each team is in parentheses on the Machine's line. Those WP percentages do not indicate confidence against the spread, it just basically tells you which teams the algorithm likes to win the game outright. So if you are in a survivor pool, for instance, you might just want to ignore the scores we predicted and just go by percentages.
In any case, these are listed in order of confidence against the spread, not confidence in outright winners. Last week, I said the Vikings were a bad team. Despite their win last week, I feel confident saying they are even worse than I thought. Chicago is at home and coming off a bye. Winner gets their rebuilding process slightly stunted! The Ravens finally return home after playing five of their first seven games on the road.
They may be the best team in recent memory. Will this be the week it finally shows? Gary Kubiak's vaunted running game looks nothing like what we saw last year in Baltimore. Is this the week we finally see a Peyton Manning offense again? The Browns should probably cure that, though. Chiefs 23, Lions 21 in London This feels like one of those brutal Lions games they at least do the courtesy of playing 3, miles away.
I wouldn't count on it. While I still don't know what Campbell actually does , I'd advise him to keep doing it. It can be a weekly holiday. Trent Baalke drafted a punter in the fifth round. That punter ranks 28th in the league. The court rules in favor of Jim Harbaugh. This is one of those matchups that looks a lot more enticing at first glance than it really is. This one's a tricky beast. How awesome is it that this is a potential wild-card play-in game? The Jets showed they are a legitimate contender in defeat last week.
The Raiders are looking like a surprisingly average team. The Bengals are our first of the final six undefeated teams to fall. Big Ben is expected to return, which should provide a large boost to the Steelers.
But the Bengals are coming off a bye and are still the team to beat. That whole division is a glorious mess. Randomness giveth and randomness taketh away.
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